Psychological processes in decision making: probabilities, risk and chance
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Decision making under interval probabilities
If we know the probabilities p1; : : : ; pn of diierent situations s1; : : : ; sn, then we can choose a decision Ai for which the expected beneet Ci = p1 ci1 + : : : + pn cin takes the largest possible value, where cij denotes the beneet of decision Ai in situation sj. In many real life situations, however, we do not know the exact values of the probabilities pj; we only know the intervals pj =...
متن کاملDecision making with imprecise probabilities
In many decision problems the only information available about a random event is expert opinion. The theory of imprecise probabilities, a generalization of standard subjective probability, allows us to deal with such information. In this paper the use of imprecise probabilities is discussed, with emphasis on elicitation and combination of opinions and decision making, and some recent results ar...
متن کاملDecision Making with Imprecise Probabilities
Orthodox Bayesian decision theory requires an agent’s beliefs representable by a real-valued function, ideally a probability function. Many theorists have argued this is too restrictive; it can be perfectly reasonable to have indeterminate degrees of belief. So doxastic states are ideally representable by a set of probability functions. One consequence of this is that the expected value of a ga...
متن کاملDecision Making under Uncertainty and Subjective Probabilities
This paper presents two axiomatic models of decision making under uncertainty that avoid the use of a state space. The first is a subjective expected utility model with action-dependent subjective probabilities and effect-dependent preferences (the case of effect-independent preferences is obtained as a special instance). The second is a nonexpected utility model involving well-defined families...
متن کاملBringing Value-Based Perspectives to Care: Including Patient and Family Members in Decision-Making Processes
Background Recent evidence shows that patient engagement is an important strategy in achieving a high performing healthcare system. While there is considerable evidence of implementation initiatives in direct care context, there is limited investigation of implementation initiatives in decision-making context as it relates to program planning, service delivery and developing policies. Research ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Polish Psychological Bulletin
سال: 2014
ISSN: 0079-2993
DOI: 10.2478/ppb-2014-0001